We've narrowed our focus to serve information of launch criteria of different rockets with the weather at different locations. This way users can know the current weather conditions and which vehicle specific weather conditions will cause a scrub. We hope to include other launch information along good viewing sites, launch provider blurbs, payload information, url of livestreams, and 3-D models of the launch vehicle.
We know how to represent our calculations now! Basically, we are going to show the likelihood of launch over the given launch window. Imagine a graph with a a percent in the y-axis and launch window in the x-axis. High numbers mean the launch is unlikely, low numbers mean the launch is likely. Our predictions will update hourly and so we will show if the trend is moving upward or downward.This calculation will be developed mostly from predicted weather data, so our breakdown of the launch window should give a good idea if the rocket launch will be scrubbed if mechanical complications occur during certain times.
We think we have a good idea of how to create a function to give us a percent of scrub. We 1) Input current weather data from the launch site and 2) Divide this number by launch criteria that determine go or no go. (For example, current wind speed at the cape is say 20 knots, launches are scrubbed at 30 knots, this gives us a ratio of 2/3 or 66%). 3) A bunch of these criteria ratios are then averaged together. The only thing we found is this ratio is not a good example of if a launch is likely to be scrubbed, becuase there is always going to be some wind speed. So we will input this decimal into an exponential function, and that value that it spits out will hopefully return a more realistic percent of scrub.
Hello World! We are creating a website that will generate a percent likelihood if a launch will be scrubbed to tell launch fanatics if they should make the drive to the site. We envision you feed our code launch location and vehicle, and we will draw from wind, lighting, and vehicle statistics to propagate a likelihood of scrub. It'll be like a horoscope for launch, "The stars are not in your favor, launches are tenuous today".
SpaceApps is a NASA incubator innovation program.